Chimaltenango vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
30%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chimaltenango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
QUI
1 - 0
CHI
55%
25%
20%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
LEO
0 - 0
CHI
53%
25%
22%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2020 |
CHI
1 - 0
SPD
29%
26%
45%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
VEN
2 - 1
CHI
62%
21%
18%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
CHI
1 - 0
XIN
27%
25%
48%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
NUE
1 - 0
SPD
30%
25%
45%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
VEN
1 - 1
NUE
67%
18%
15%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2020 |
NUE
1 - 1
XIN
30%
24%
46%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
SOL
1 - 0
NUE
34%
25%
42%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
COA
1 - 0
NUE
45%
24%
31%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -2 |