Chimaltenango vs Mictlán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.5%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
44.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chimaltenango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
CHI
1 - 1
SAC
26%
29%
45%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
DSA
3 - 1
CHI
57%
24%
19%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
CHI
0 - 0
AUR
26%
30%
44%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
JUP
1 - 0
CHI
64%
21%
15%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
ZAC
4 - 0
CHI
62%
23%
15%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
CON
1 - 1
DSA
46%
26%
28%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
AUR
3 - 1
CON
40%
29%
31%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
CON
2 - 1
JUP
43%
26%
31%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2022 |
ZAC
1 - 0
CON
51%
26%
23%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 2
CON
51%
25%
24%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |