Chimaltenango vs Aurora FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.7%
29.8%
Draw
0-0
12.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.8%
43.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chimaltenango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
JUP
1 - 0
CHI
64%
21%
15%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
ZAC
4 - 0
CHI
62%
23%
15%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
CHI
2 - 2
SAN
26%
26%
48%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
COM
1 - 0
CHI
38%
28%
34%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
CHI
1 - 1
DBC
32%
27%
41%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Aurora FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2022 |
AUR
2 - 0
DSA
41%
28%
32%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
SAC
0 - 1
AUR
44%
28%
28%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
AUR
2 - 0
JUP
33%
28%
39%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +2 |
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
ZAC
3 - 0
AUR
51%
26%
23%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -2 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
AUR
1 - 0
SAN
34%
27%
39%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |