Chimaltenango vs Aurora FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.3%
29%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
32.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chimaltenango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
MIX
3 - 1
CHI
55%
25%
20%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
CHI
1 - 0
ZAC
50%
27%
23%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
SAC
1 - 1
CHI
64%
22%
14%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2021 |
CHI
2 - 1
DSA
15%
23%
62%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
CHI
1 - 2
JUP
31%
26%
43%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Aurora FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
AUR
1 - 1
COM
38%
29%
33%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2021 |
CON
1 - 0
AUR
49%
27%
24%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
DSA
0 - 1
AUR
68%
21%
11%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
AUR
1 - 0
MIX
25%
26%
49%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +2 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
AUR
0 - 1
NUE
32%
27%
41%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |