Chimaltenango vs Aurora FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
25.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chimaltenango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
COM
1 - 0
CHI
35%
28%
37%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
ESC
2 - 0
CHI
42%
27%
31%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -2 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
CHI
1 - 0
DEP
37%
25%
38%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
AUR
1 - 0
CHI
35%
29%
37%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
CHI
2 - 0
COM
62%
23%
15%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Aurora FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
ESC
1 - 1
AUR
55%
24%
21%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
AUR
1 - 1
DEP
31%
24%
45%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
AUR
1 - 3
COM
57%
25%
18%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
AUR
1 - 0
CHI
35%
29%
37%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
AUR
1 - 2
ESC
48%
26%
26%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |