Nuevo Chimalhuacán vs Selva Cañera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
35.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nuevo Chimalhuacán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
ALE
0 - 0
CHI
40%
23%
37%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
CHI
1 - 3
AME
27%
24%
50%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2015 |
ART
2 - 1
CHI
71%
18%
11%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2015 |
CEN
0 - 4
CHI
55%
23%
22%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +2 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
CHI
3 - 3
CUA
36%
24%
40%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Selva Cañera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2015 |
SEL
1 - 0
SAH
52%
23%
25%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2015 |
SAH
3 - 0
SEL
40%
25%
35%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -2 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
SEL
2 - 3
CUA
56%
22%
22%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -2 |
| 15 Apr. 2015 |
CUA
4 - 4
SEL
42%
25%
33%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
SEL
1 - 1
PUM
50%
23%
28%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |