Nuevo Chimalhuacán vs Colibríes de Malinalco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
44.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nuevo Chimalhuacán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
CUA
2 - 0
CHI
60%
22%
18%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
CHI
0 - 4
CAN
35%
25%
40%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
CHI
1 - 0
GLA
61%
20%
19%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CHE
4 - 0
CHI
55%
24%
21%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -2 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
CHI
0 - 2
LOB
38%
24%
38%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Colibríes de Malinalco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
MAL
7 - 2
GLA
75%
16%
9%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CHE
1 - 0
MAL
39%
26%
35%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
MAL
2 - 0
LOB
46%
25%
30%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
SAT
0 - 2
MAL
48%
24%
28%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
MAL
3 - 3
UMS
54%
23%
23%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |