Chilly vs Fabrègues analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.6%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
70%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
11%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.9%
0-4
5%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chilly
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
CHI
1 - 0
HAL
9%
15%
76%
|
11 | 37 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Fabrègues
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
ASB
0 - 1
FAB
29%
22%
49%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
FAB
2 - 0
SAM
61%
20%
19%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
FAB
3 - 1
AGD
56%
24%
21%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
FAB
2 - 1
BEA
45%
22%
33%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
AUC
1 - 3
FAB
23%
22%
56%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |