Chile U20 vs Nueva Zelanda U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.2%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
17%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
BRA
3 - 0
CHI
73%
16%
10%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2025 |
COL
3 - 1
CHI
61%
21%
18%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2025 |
CHI
1 - 1
URU
29%
25%
46%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
PAR
2 - 1
CHI
33%
25%
42%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2025 |
CHI
1 - 2
ARG
22%
23%
56%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Nueva Zelanda U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2023 |
USA
4 - 0
NZL
79%
14%
7%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
NZL
0 - 5
ARG
9%
18%
74%
|
51 | 78 | 27 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2023 |
UZB
2 - 2
NZL
36%
25%
39%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
GTM
0 - 1
NZL
40%
25%
35%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2023 |
ECU
0 - 1
NZL
66%
19%
16%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | +1 |