Chile U20 vs Ecuador U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.1%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
14.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2001 |
PAR
1 - 2
CHI
70%
18%
12%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2001 |
ARG
2 - 2
CHI
82%
12%
6%
|
56 | 78 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2001 |
BRA
6 - 0
CHI
84%
11%
5%
|
56 | 81 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2001 |
CHI
3 - 1
BOL
70%
18%
13%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2001 |
CHI
2 - 1
COL
32%
25%
43%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Ecuador U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2001 |
ECU
0 - 1
COL
26%
25%
49%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2001 |
PAR
1 - 1
ECU
79%
14%
7%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2001 |
ECU
0 - 1
ARG
6%
17%
77%
|
51 | 78 | 27 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2001 |
ECU
0 - 1
BRA
5%
16%
79%
|
51 | 81 | 30 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2001 |
ECU
1 - 1
PAR
12%
21%
67%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |