Q. Europa League First Round Final
Global 3-3
Chikhura vs Zimbru Chişinău analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
19.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chikhura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2016 |
ZIM
0 - 1
CHI
27%
26%
46%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 2
CHI
55%
22%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2016 |
MTK
3 - 1
CHI
29%
26%
45%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
CHI
3 - 2
SAP
76%
17%
8%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
SHU
0 - 2
CHI
29%
28%
44%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Zimbru Chişinău
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2016 |
ZIM
0 - 1
CHI
27%
26%
46%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2016 |
FCA
0 - 0
ZIM
19%
25%
56%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
ZIM
0 - 2
DAC
31%
30%
40%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2016 |
ZAR
4 - 2
ZIM
29%
31%
41%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
ZIM
1 - 0
SPE
58%
26%
17%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |