Coppa Italia Quarter-finals
Global 1-3
Chievo vs Sampdoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
26.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chievo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
CHI
2 - 1
CAT
52%
24%
24%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2007 |
SAM
1 - 0
CHI
59%
23%
18%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
ASC
3 - 0
CHI
30%
27%
43%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2006 |
CHI
3 - 2
REG
53%
25%
22%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
PAR
2 - 2
CHI
51%
25%
24%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
SAM
0 - 0
FIO
46%
27%
27%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2007 |
SAM
1 - 0
CHI
59%
23%
18%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
CAT
4 - 2
SAM
38%
28%
34%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2006 |
SAM
4 - 1
LIV
55%
24%
21%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
REG
0 - 1
SAM
43%
28%
29%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |