Chieti vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
37.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chieti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
TER
2 - 0
CHI
74%
17%
9%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 0
RAA
68%
20%
12%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
ARZ
0 - 3
CHI
39%
27%
34%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
CHI
0 - 1
ASM
52%
25%
24%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
APR
1 - 0
CHI
44%
27%
29%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
MES
1 - 1
USP
66%
20%
14%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
MES
0 - 3
USF
39%
25%
35%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -2 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
RAA
1 - 0
MES
14%
23%
64%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
MES
2 - 2
APR
71%
18%
11%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
CAS
2 - 0
MES
31%
26%
43%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | -3 |