Chieti vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
36%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chieti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
SAS
2 - 0
CHI
67%
19%
14%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
LOD
0 - 0
CHI
46%
25%
29%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
CHI
0 - 0
LAQ
42%
26%
32%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
VIS
1 - 1
CHI
52%
24%
23%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
CHI
0 - 1
AVE
32%
27%
41%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
ASC
0 - 0
FER
67%
21%
13%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
FER
0 - 1
BEN
50%
26%
24%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
NOC
2 - 1
FER
32%
29%
39%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
FER
1 - 1
VIT
46%
25%
29%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
CAS
1 - 0
FER
42%
28%
30%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |