Chieti vs Melfi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
23.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chieti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
APR
1 - 0
CHI
44%
27%
29%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 1
ISC
22%
26%
53%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
VIG
1 - 0
CHI
43%
28%
29%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
CHI
3 - 1
CAS
26%
26%
48%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +2 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 2
SAN
23%
25%
52%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | -2 |
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
ASM
0 - 0
USF
15%
21%
64%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
TUT
1 - 1
ASM
54%
24%
23%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
ASM
1 - 0
RAA
79%
15%
6%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
GAV
0 - 4
ASM
57%
23%
21%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
ASM
2 - 1
CAM
38%
28%
34%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |