Chieri vs Virtus Entella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
51.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-92%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chieri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
CUN
1 - 1
CHI
52%
25%
24%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
CHI
4 - 2
VIG
71%
17%
12%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
ACA
3 - 3
CHI
49%
23%
27%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
SAV
1 - 0
CHI
73%
17%
10%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
CHI
3 - 2
DER
56%
22%
22%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Virtus Entella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
ACD
4 - 0
ACA
74%
17%
9%
|
50 | 29 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
SAV
0 - 1
ACD
44%
26%
30%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
ACD
1 - 0
DER
75%
17%
8%
|
50 | 28 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
ASC
1 - 0
ACD
26%
26%
48%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
ACD
1 - 1
SET
78%
16%
7%
|
51 | 25 | 26 | 0 |