Chieri vs Lavagnese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
24.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-61%
+172%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chieri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
CHI
2 - 0
ALB
71%
19%
11%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
SES
1 - 2
CHI
31%
25%
44%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
CHI
0 - 3
RAB
45%
24%
32%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
NOV
0 - 1
CHI
37%
26%
37%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
CHI
0 - 0
SAN
41%
26%
33%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lavagnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2013 |
ALB
1 - 0
LAV
21%
25%
54%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
LAV
3 - 0
NOV
56%
23%
21%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
LAV
3 - 0
FOL
64%
22%
14%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
RAB
1 - 1
LAV
57%
22%
22%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
LAV
1 - 2
CAR
36%
26%
38%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |