Chieri vs Lavagnese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
21.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-91%
+249%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chieri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
CHI
2 - 1
ALB
80%
14%
6%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
VER
1 - 2
CHI
33%
24%
43%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
CHI
4 - 1
ACQ
64%
20%
16%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
AST
0 - 1
CHI
32%
24%
44%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 0
BOR
59%
22%
19%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Lavagnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
LAV
1 - 0
ACQ
62%
22%
16%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
AST
0 - 1
LAV
35%
26%
39%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
LAV
1 - 1
BOR
60%
23%
17%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
FOL
1 - 0
LAV
35%
27%
39%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
LAV
3 - 1
PRO
55%
23%
22%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | +1 |