Chieri vs Gozzano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.7%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
12.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-64%
+62%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chieri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
VER
1 - 2
CHI
11%
16%
73%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
VAR
0 - 3
CHI
32%
23%
45%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
CHI
2 - 0
ASD
80%
14%
6%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
CUN
2 - 2
CHI
45%
27%
28%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
UNI
2 - 4
CHI
78%
15%
7%
|
37 | 59 | 22 | +2 |
Matches
Gozzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
GOZ
3 - 2
ASD
72%
18%
10%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
PRO
1 - 2
GOZ
52%
25%
23%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
GOZ
0 - 2
VAR
51%
22%
27%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
GOZ
2 - 4
ASD
53%
22%
25%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 0
GOZ
33%
27%
40%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -1 |