Chieri vs Derthona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
17.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-61%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chieri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
AST
0 - 1
CHI
31%
27%
42%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 3
VFC
69%
18%
13%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
BOR
3 - 0
CHI
46%
25%
29%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
CHI
3 - 0
VER
58%
22%
20%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
CHI
0 - 1
LAV
52%
25%
24%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Derthona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
DER
1 - 1
LAV
43%
27%
31%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
SES
0 - 2
DER
61%
21%
17%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
DER
1 - 3
NOV
50%
25%
25%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
ALB
1 - 0
DER
34%
27%
39%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
DER
0 - 1
CHI
47%
24%
29%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |