Chieri vs Pavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
46.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chieri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
BOR
2 - 1
CHI
35%
26%
39%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
CHI
3 - 0
ARC
80%
13%
7%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2017 |
TOR
3 - 0
CHI
94%
5%
1%
|
42 | 85 | 43 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
CAR
0 - 0
CHI
55%
23%
23%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
CHI
3 - 1
PRO
51%
25%
24%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
PAV
4 - 0
BOR
79%
14%
7%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
SER
1 - 1
PAV
13%
21%
66%
|
49 | 28 | 21 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
PAV
4 - 1
CAS
91%
7%
2%
|
49 | 19 | 30 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
VAR
2 - 0
PAV
61%
21%
18%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
PAV
2 - 2
BOR
65%
21%
15%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |