Chicago Fire vs Joe Public FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.6%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
7.4%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chicago Fire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
SJE
2 - 0
CFS
38%
25%
37%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1999 |
CFS
1 - 2
COC
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1999 |
CFS
1 - 1
TAM
61%
22%
18%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
GAL
1 - 0
CFS
59%
20%
20%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
RBN
1 - 2
CFS
27%
25%
48%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Joe Public FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1998 |
JOE
1 - 0
CAL
57%
23%
21%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1998 |
JOE
3 - 1
WAT
40%
25%
35%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 1998 |
JOE
4 - 0
NOT
77%
14%
9%
|
62 | 41 | 21 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 1998 |
DCU
8 - 0
JOE
92%
6%
2%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | -1 |