Chicago Fire vs Houston Dynamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
28.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chicago Fire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2016 |
RBN
1 - 0
CFS
54%
23%
24%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
NER
2 - 0
CFS
41%
26%
33%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2016 |
VAN
2 - 1
CFS
42%
26%
33%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
CFS
1 - 1
DCU
45%
27%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
CFS
1 - 2
MON
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Houston Dynamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2016 |
HOD
1 - 0
RSL
36%
26%
38%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2016 |
SJE
3 - 1
HOD
46%
27%
27%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
HOD
2 - 0
KCW
33%
27%
40%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
RSL
2 - 1
HOD
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
COC
1 - 0
HOD
49%
26%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |