Chicago Fire vs Houston Dynamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
25.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chicago Fire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
CFS
1 - 0
KCW
42%
28%
31%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
NER
2 - 0
CFS
32%
26%
41%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
CFS
2 - 1
MON
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2013 |
CFS
0 - 2
DCU
64%
21%
15%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
PHU
1 - 2
CFS
36%
26%
38%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Houston Dynamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2013 |
HOD
2 - 1
ARA
60%
23%
17%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
MON
5 - 0
HOD
41%
27%
32%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2013 |
CON
0 - 0
HOD
26%
25%
50%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
HOD
3 - 1
SES
34%
28%
38%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
RSL
1 - 0
HOD
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |