Chiavari Caperana vs Giana Erminio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
60.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chiavari Caperana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
VAO
0 - 0
CHI
58%
23%
20%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
CHI
0 - 1
AST
51%
24%
25%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
APD
1 - 1
CHI
24%
23%
53%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
CHI
2 - 1
VFC
52%
23%
25%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
DER
2 - 1
CHI
31%
27%
43%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Giana Erminio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
GER
2 - 3
CAR
71%
18%
11%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
GER
0 - 1
APD
80%
13%
6%
|
49 | 19 | 30 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
VAO
0 - 0
GER
19%
23%
58%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
GER
0 - 0
DER
81%
13%
6%
|
50 | 26 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
AST
1 - 2
GER
15%
22%
63%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | +1 |