Chiavari Caperana vs Gallaratese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
34.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chiavari Caperana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
ACA
5 - 0
CHI
60%
21%
20%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
VIG
2 - 3
CHI
29%
24%
47%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 2
AST
38%
24%
38%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
ACQ
0 - 1
CHI
42%
26%
33%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
CHI
0 - 1
ASC
48%
25%
27%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Gallaratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
GAL
2 - 0
NOV
55%
23%
22%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
GAL
2 - 0
LAV
42%
25%
33%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +2 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
DER
3 - 2
GAL
43%
26%
32%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
GAL
4 - 0
VIG
61%
21%
18%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
ALB
0 - 0
GAL
49%
24%
27%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |