Chiavari Caperana vs Folgore Caratese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.7%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
12%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
12.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chiavari Caperana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 2
CHI
65%
20%
16%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
CHI
3 - 1
SAN
48%
23%
28%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
GER
2 - 1
CHI
76%
16%
8%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 1
VAO
43%
24%
33%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
AST
0 - 0
CHI
37%
25%
38%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
FOL
2 - 3
APD
74%
16%
9%
|
26 | 13 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
GER
1 - 1
FOL
81%
13%
6%
|
25 | 48 | 23 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
DER
1 - 1
FOL
49%
26%
25%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
FOL
1 - 0
AST
33%
26%
41%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
VER
0 - 0
FOL
51%
24%
25%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |