Chiasso vs Luzern II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
19%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chiasso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
YFJ
1 - 3
CHI
20%
22%
58%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
STA
2 - 1
CHI
43%
25%
32%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
CHI
1 - 0
BAS
56%
23%
21%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 1
CHI
37%
26%
38%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
CHI
3 - 1
YOU
59%
23%
19%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
LUZ
3 - 1
STA
29%
24%
47%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
BAS
0 - 2
LUZ
61%
20%
19%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
LUZ
4 - 3
CHA
30%
24%
47%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
YOU
2 - 2
LUZ
55%
21%
24%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
LUZ
5 - 0
STG
62%
20%
19%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | +1 |