Chiasso vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
52.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chiasso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2014 |
LAU
2 - 0
CHI
61%
23%
16%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
CHI
0 - 1
SER
24%
26%
50%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
WIN
1 - 0
CHI
55%
25%
20%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
BIE
0 - 1
CHI
52%
24%
24%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
CHI
1 - 1
LEM
38%
28%
34%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2014 |
LUG
5 - 2
SCH
45%
25%
30%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
LEM
0 - 0
LUG
32%
25%
43%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
LUG
1 - 2
WOH
62%
21%
17%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
LUG
2 - 1
WIN
52%
24%
24%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
LAU
1 - 1
LUG
38%
27%
35%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |