Chiasso vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
21.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chiasso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
DEL
2 - 1
CHI
35%
26%
39%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
CHI
1 - 1
SCH
33%
28%
40%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
SER
5 - 0
CHI
66%
20%
14%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2007 |
CHI
2 - 5
WIL
50%
25%
24%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2007 |
FCG
2 - 2
CHI
23%
24%
53%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
LUG
1 - 1
WOH
47%
26%
28%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
CHA
0 - 1
LUG
40%
26%
34%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2007 |
LUG
1 - 1
KRI
29%
26%
45%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2007 |
CON
1 - 1
LUG
61%
21%
18%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2007 |
LUG
2 - 3
WIN
35%
26%
39%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |