Chiasso vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.3%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
70%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
13%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
13.5%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chiasso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
NEX
2 - 1
CHI
59%
22%
19%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2021 |
CHI
1 - 0
WIL
22%
24%
54%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
KRI
2 - 0
CHI
65%
19%
16%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
CHI
1 - 1
SCH
23%
24%
53%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
GCZ
1 - 1
CHI
74%
17%
9%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
FCA
4 - 2
THU
37%
24%
39%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2021 |
FCA
0 - 0
WIN
47%
23%
30%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2021 |
FCA
4 - 0
NEX
63%
20%
17%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2021 |
STA
1 - 1
FCA
30%
24%
46%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2021 |
GCZ
2 - 1
FCA
48%
24%
28%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |