Chiasso vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.3%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
62.4%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chiasso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2020 |
WIN
2 - 0
CHI
72%
18%
11%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
THU
3 - 0
CHI
77%
16%
8%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2020 |
CHI
3 - 2
NEX
17%
23%
61%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
KRI
0 - 0
CHI
77%
15%
9%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
CHI
1 - 1
WIL
22%
24%
54%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2020 |
NEX
2 - 4
FCA
39%
24%
37%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
FCA
3 - 1
WIN
33%
24%
43%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2020 |
FCA
0 - 1
GCZ
33%
24%
43%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2020 |
FCA
2 - 2
KRI
43%
24%
34%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2020 |
THU
1 - 0
FCA
59%
22%
20%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |