Chiasso vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
45.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chiasso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2018 |
WIL
1 - 0
CHI
45%
26%
29%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
CHI
2 - 1
SER
26%
27%
47%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
WOH
3 - 4
CHI
33%
26%
41%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2018 |
CHI
1 - 6
FCV
14%
22%
65%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
RAP
3 - 1
CHI
60%
24%
17%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
FCA
2 - 2
NEX
23%
24%
54%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
SCH
3 - 1
FCA
49%
24%
27%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
FCV
5 - 1
FCA
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2018 |
FCA
2 - 1
WIN
60%
22%
19%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2018 |
WIL
1 - 0
FCA
28%
25%
47%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |