Chiasso vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
54.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chiasso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
WIN
1 - 1
CHI
61%
23%
16%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
CHI
0 - 5
ACM
10%
22%
68%
|
56 | 87 | 31 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
LEM
0 - 0
CHI
45%
26%
28%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
CHI
0 - 4
WIL
26%
26%
49%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
CHI
1 - 2
NEX
16%
23%
61%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
FCA
0 - 1
WIL
53%
23%
25%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
SER
1 - 0
FCA
29%
26%
45%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
FCA
1 - 1
ZUR
31%
25%
44%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
WOH
1 - 4
FCA
18%
24%
58%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
BRE
0 - 1
FCA
17%
20%
64%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | -1 |