Chiasso vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
48.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chiasso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
LAU
1 - 2
CHI
47%
27%
27%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
CHI
3 - 0
SCH
21%
25%
54%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
LEM
1 - 1
CHI
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2015 |
CLU
3 - 2
CHI
76%
16%
7%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
LEM
0 - 1
CHI
56%
24%
21%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
FCA
2 - 3
BIE
62%
20%
17%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
WIL
0 - 0
FCA
34%
25%
42%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2015 |
FCA
1 - 1
WOH
58%
22%
20%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2015 |
FCA
4 - 2
ALT
32%
24%
44%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2015 |
ZUR
3 - 0
FCA
60%
22%
18%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |