Chiasso vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
58.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chiasso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
WIL
0 - 1
CHI
72%
18%
10%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
CHI
2 - 1
LUG
30%
26%
44%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
BEL
1 - 0
CHI
71%
19%
10%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 3
WOH
43%
27%
31%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 4
BAS
9%
18%
73%
|
58 | 85 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2013 |
LUG
0 - 2
FCA
24%
25%
51%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
FCA
1 - 0
FCV
65%
20%
15%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
FCA
2 - 0
STG
38%
24%
38%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
FCA
2 - 1
FCV
62%
21%
17%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2012 |
WIN
0 - 0
FCA
40%
26%
34%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |