Chetumal vs Selva Cañera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
34.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chetumal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
MAL
4 - 2
CHE
51%
23%
26%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
CHE
2 - 1
CUA
34%
24%
42%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
CHI
1 - 0
CHE
47%
23%
30%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
CHE
4 - 0
GLA
52%
23%
24%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
CAN
2 - 2
CHE
52%
23%
25%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Selva Cañera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
SEL
1 - 1
LOB
45%
24%
31%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
SAT
4 - 1
SEL
45%
24%
32%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -2 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
SEL
5 - 0
MIC
79%
14%
7%
|
48 | 29 | 19 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
CEL
0 - 1
SEL
28%
24%
48%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
SEL
4 - 2
HID
77%
15%
8%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | 0 |