Chesterfield vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
35.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 1909 |
WOL
3 - 0
CHE
79%
13%
8%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1909 |
CHE
2 - 1
BRA
66%
18%
16%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 1909 |
CHE
2 - 1
FUL
38%
24%
38%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1908 |
GRI
1 - 0
CHE
62%
21%
17%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Dec. 1908 |
FUL
0 - 0
CHE
87%
9%
4%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 1909 |
OLD
3 - 1
BPO
80%
13%
8%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1909 |
DER
1 - 0
OLD
59%
20%
22%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1908 |
TOT
3 - 0
OLD
75%
15%
10%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Dec. 1908 |
OLD
1 - 0
TOT
38%
24%
38%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 1908 |
OLD
6 - 0
LEE
68%
17%
15%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |