Chesterfield vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
40%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1900 |
CHE
5 - 2
NEW
31%
25%
44%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1900 |
CHE
0 - 0
BIR
23%
23%
54%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1900 |
LIN
2 - 0
CHE
55%
22%
23%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1899 |
CHE
1 - 0
SHW
28%
26%
47%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1899 |
LUT
0 - 3
CHE
48%
21%
31%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1900 |
GRI
2 - 0
MID
54%
20%
26%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1900 |
MID
5 - 2
NEW
45%
23%
33%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 1900 |
BIR
5 - 1
MID
70%
17%
13%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 1899 |
MID
1 - 1
LIN
54%
22%
24%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1899 |
MID
1 - 2
SHW
32%
27%
41%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |