Chester vs Pontefract Collieries analysis

		$Pontefract Collieries$
44	ELO	30
5.1%	Tilt	9.3%
3938º	General ELO ranking	8857º
104º	Country ELO ranking	418º
ELO win probability

71.1%

Chester

17.4%

Draw

11.5%

Pontefract Collieries

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

71%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%

17.5%

Draw

0-0

4.4%

1-1

8.3%

2-2

3.9%

3-3

0.8%

4-4

0.1%

0

17.4%

11.5%
Win probability

                        
                    
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO progression

$Pontefract Collieries$

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Chester

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
13 Sep. 2022	CHE 1 - 0 SOU 55% 23% 23%	42	40	2	0
03 Sep. 2022	CHE 3 - 3 KIN 37% 24% 38%	42	45	3	0
29 Aug. 2022	CUR 1 - 2 CHE 36% 25% 39%	42	40	2	0
27 Aug. 2022	CHE 0 - 1 FYL 27% 24% 49%	43	50	7	-1
20 Aug. 2022	PET 3 - 2 CHE 61% 21% 19%	44	48	4	-1

Matches

Pontefract Collieries

$Pontefract Collieries$

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
13 Sep. 2022	NOR 3 - 1 $Pontefract Collieries$ PON 41% 23% 36%	32	35	3	0
06 Sep. 2022	PON $Pontefract Collieries$ 2 - 1 CHA 37% 23% 40%	31	29	2	+1
03 Sep. 2022	CHA 2 - 2 $Pontefract Collieries$ PON 40% 22% 39%	31	29	2	0
29 Aug. 2022	PON $Pontefract Collieries$ 3 - 1 OUF 68% 19% 13%	31	22	9	0
27 Aug. 2022	LIN 2 - 2 $Pontefract Collieries$ PON 19% 21% 61%	32	21	11	-1