Chester vs Accrington Stanley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
31.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
BRA
0 - 0
CHE
67%
20%
13%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
CHE
2 - 0
NOT
35%
28%
38%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
BOU
1 - 0
CHE
62%
23%
16%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2008 |
DAR
1 - 2
CHE
73%
18%
8%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
CHE
0 - 1
ALD
22%
25%
54%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
STA
1 - 3
ROT
36%
28%
37%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2008 |
LIN
5 - 1
STA
55%
23%
22%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
STA
1 - 2
BCF
38%
27%
35%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
CHE
1 - 1
STA
64%
20%
16%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
STA
3 - 0
BOU
29%
26%
45%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | +2 |