Chesham United vs Bashley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
22%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chesham United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
RED
1 - 1
CHE
27%
25%
48%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
CHE
2 - 1
HEM
61%
22%
18%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2012 |
BAS
3 - 1
CHE
27%
26%
48%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
HIT
1 - 1
CHE
44%
25%
31%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
CHE
4 - 2
STO
37%
25%
38%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
BAS
2 - 1
LEA
35%
25%
40%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
STO
5 - 0
BAS
59%
21%
20%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -2 |
| 07 Feb. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 3
BAS
59%
22%
19%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +2 |
| 31 Jan. 2012 |
BAS
3 - 1
CHE
27%
26%
48%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | +4 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
BAS
1 - 1
FRO
36%
26%
38%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | 0 |