Chernomorets Sofia vs Cherno More Varna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
24.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chernomorets Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
CHE
3 - 0
RIL
60%
22%
18%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
DOB
0 - 2
CHE
41%
25%
33%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
CHE
1 - 1
LPL
30%
27%
44%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
CSK
4 - 1
CHE
84%
11%
5%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
CHE
0 - 1
LSO
30%
27%
43%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Cherno More Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
CVA
2 - 1
DOB
50%
24%
26%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
LPL
4 - 1
CVA
68%
19%
13%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
CVA
0 - 1
CSK
29%
27%
43%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
LSO
0 - 0
CVA
67%
20%
14%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
CVA
2 - 1
SVA
38%
26%
37%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |