Chernomorets Byala vs Lokomotiv Kaspichan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
11.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chernomorets Byala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
CHE
1 - 0
CHE
64%
20%
15%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
CHE
1 - 2
SHU
14%
20%
66%
|
28 | 56 | 28 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
DUN
4 - 1
CHE
76%
16%
8%
|
28 | 50 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
CHE
1 - 1
BEN
42%
24%
34%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
VEL
0 - 0
CHE
39%
26%
35%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lokomotiv Kaspichan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
LOK
3 - 0
BOT
56%
21%
22%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
BEL
3 - 0
LOK
80%
13%
7%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
LOK
0 - 4
SUV
18%
21%
61%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
DVE
4 - 0
LOK
82%
12%
6%
|
21 | 45 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
LOK
0 - 3
RAS
21%
23%
56%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | -1 |