Chernomorec vs Sozopol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
31.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chernomorec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
TUN
3 - 1
CHN
56%
23%
21%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
CHN
3 - 1
BGA
34%
25%
41%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +3 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
CHN
2 - 0
TUY
46%
25%
29%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2008 |
FKH
0 - 3
CHN
61%
20%
19%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +2 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
CHN
3 - 0
ASE
50%
24%
27%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Sozopol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
SOZ
1 - 0
STA
67%
20%
14%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2008 |
LEV
1 - 0
SOZ
30%
25%
45%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
SOZ
2 - 1
BGA
39%
25%
36%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2008 |
BRE
3 - 0
SOZ
46%
25%
29%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
SOZ
1 - 1
TUY
61%
21%
18%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |