Chernolomets 1919 vs Riltzi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.1%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
9.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
3º
6º
4º
46
3º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
88.5% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
88.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
10º
|
72% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
66.5% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
81% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 12 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chernolomets 1919
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SGT
1 - 8
CHE
16%
18%
66%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
CHE
0 - 0
YAM
64%
19%
17%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
CHE
2 - 1
FSV
44%
22%
34%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2021 |
CHE
0 - 3
MAR
16%
18%
65%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | -2 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
PRO
1 - 3
CHE
10%
15%
75%
|
37 | 9 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Riltzi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
FKR
1 - 0
SHU
34%
22%
44%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
BOT
0 - 2
FKR
38%
23%
38%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
FKR
2 - 2
DOR
16%
18%
66%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
FKR
0 - 4
FSV
21%
20%
59%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | -2 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
CHE
6 - 0
FKR
87%
10%
3%
|
24 | 48 | 24 | 0 |