Cup Bulgaria 1/16
Global 2-0
Cherno More Varna vs Strumska Slava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.3%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
17%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.3%
1-0
16%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.2%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
6.7%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cherno More Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
LPL
1 - 0
CVA
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
CVA
0 - 0
CSK
35%
29%
37%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
LOV
4 - 1
CVA
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2012 |
STR
0 - 0
CVA
12%
20%
68%
|
75 | 41 | 34 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
CVA
2 - 0
LSO
52%
27%
22%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Strumska Slava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
STR
0 - 1
SLI
33%
26%
42%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
FKV
0 - 0
STR
55%
24%
22%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
STR
3 - 1
RIL
63%
20%
17%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2012 |
STR
0 - 0
CVA
12%
20%
68%
|
41 | 75 | 34 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
VDD
0 - 2
STR
39%
25%
36%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |