Cherno More Varna vs Septemvri Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
19.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cherno More Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2018 |
LSO
2 - 2
CVA
58%
23%
19%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2018 |
CVA
2 - 1
BVR
54%
26%
20%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +2 |
| 29 Jun. 2018 |
CVA
1 - 1
56%
22%
22%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2018 |
LSO
4 - 1
CVA
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
LPL
2 - 2
CVA
51%
24%
25%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Septemvri Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
SEP
0 - 2
BOT
26%
26%
48%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2018 |
VER
0 - 0
SEP
40%
27%
33%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2018 |
SEP
1 - 2
CVA
33%
25%
41%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
CVA
2 - 1
SEP
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2018 |
SEP
0 - 2
DUN
42%
27%
31%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |