Intertoto Cup Final
Global 0-2
Cherno More Varna vs Sampdoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.1%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
30.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cherno More Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2007 |
CVA
3 - 0
MAK
62%
22%
16%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2007 |
MAK
0 - 4
CVA
34%
27%
39%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
CVA
2 - 1
RIL
60%
24%
17%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
SVA
2 - 0
CVA
29%
29%
42%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2007 |
CVA
1 - 0
LOV
43%
28%
29%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2007 |
FIO
5 - 1
SAM
64%
22%
15%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
SAM
1 - 0
CAT
63%
22%
16%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
LIV
1 - 0
SAM
40%
29%
32%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
SAM
0 - 0
REG
55%
24%
21%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
SIE
0 - 2
SAM
41%
28%
32%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |