Cherno More Varna vs Ludogorets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
33.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
3º
4º
3º
83
1º
2º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
72 | 10 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
1º
|
83 | 7 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
59 | 6 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 5 |
4º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cherno More Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2025 |
LSO
2 - 0
CVA
47%
28%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
CVA
1 - 1
ARK
45%
28%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
LUD
2 - 0
CVA
56%
24%
20%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2025 |
CSK
2 - 1
CVA
49%
26%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
CVA
1 - 1
BER
59%
25%
16%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Ludogorets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2025 |
ARK
1 - 1
LUD
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
LUD
1 - 1
LSO
51%
25%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
LUD
2 - 0
CVA
56%
24%
20%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2025 |
LUD
2 - 0
BVR
82%
12%
6%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
LUD
2 - 1
SVA
66%
20%
14%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |